Candlestick Trading Patterns- The Hanging Man, the Hammer and the Spinning Top!
Mar 8, 2010 Uncategorized
Hanging Man and the Hammer are two different candlestick patterns. The patterns are not identical. Hanging Man is considered to be bearish and the Hammer is considered to be bullish.
How to spot the Hanging Man and the Hammer? These candlestick patterns are easy to spot on the chart. When you spot a very small candle body accompanied by a pretty long wick on the bottom, it is a Hanging Man if it appears at the top of the uptrend and it is a Hammer if it appears at the bottom of the downtrend.
Now suppose, you find the Hammer or the Hanging Man. What you need is to look for the confirmation the next day! Now, in most of the cases, you will also find a small wick on the top of the candle body.
If you think that you have spotted a Hanging Man appear on the top of an uptrend, wait for the next day’s opening price. If the opening day is lower than the last day’s close, you have spotted a true Hanging Man.
Similarly, if you spot a Hammer at the bottom of a downtrend, you need to confirm it with the opening price on the following day. If the opening price on the next day is higher than the closing price on the last day, the Hammer formed was a true Hammer.
When you trade candlestick patterns, you need to look for the confirmation on the following day to confirm that the candlestick pattern formed was indeed true. Once you have the confirmation signal, you can safely trade on that candlestick pattern. If you cannot get the confirmation, you should ignore that pattern considering it to be false. Most of these candlestick patterns are ideally suited for the daily charts.
Spinning Top is just like the Hanging Man and the Hammer. Spinning Top is a signal that the battle between the bulls and the bears ended in a draw. It will start next day again with ony side giving in. What this means is that an explosive move in the price action can take place the following day.
How to identify a SPINNING TOP? A Spinning Top has a very small candle body in the middle with two equal wicks on the top and the bottom. This pattern appears very frequently in the daily charts and can be highly profitable if spotted correctly.
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Shocking Stocks Short Selling Facts!
Mar 8, 2010 Uncategorized
Short Selling Stocks is one of the favorite day or swing trading strategy. Many traders short stocks. Now many stock brokers make it very easy for the investors and traders to short stocks. Now a days, most of the trading is being done online. When you sell a stock, a message will ask you whether you are selling stocks that you own or you are selling short. With one click, you tell the broker that you are short selling. The broker than goes about and arranges the shares for you to short sell. These shares are a loan to your account.
In some cases, the brokerage firm cannot borrow the shares as so many people have sold the stock short that there are no more shares to borrow. In that case, you will have to find another stock or use another strategy.
Now, shorting is one of the favorite strategies employed by day traders. A day trader may short stock on the mundane reason like its price had been going up for three days and it’s time to come down! Day traders are not fundamental traders. Day traders are simply interested in the daily volatility in the stock. Most even don’t do any financial or fundamental analysis of the companies whose stocks they are trading. Almost all are technicians or what you call technical analysis experts.
You have to be careful about the uptick rule as stock exchanges have rules in place to help maintain an upward bias in the stock market. What this means is that you can only short a stock when the last trade was a move up. In other words, you can’t short a stock that is moving down.
How much risky short selling can be? Well, in theory there is no stopping a stock price to reach the sky. So if you are wrong in your short selling decision, your loss can be catastrophic. But don’t worry, short sellers also use stop loss so if the price starts to move up, your position will get closed automatically by the stop loss order.
Now, don’t get caught in the market with short selling when good news spreads about the stock that you had shorted driving its price up. This is known as Short Squeeze. Once that happens, almost all short sellers get desperate to dump their stocks and exit but when they try to buy back the stock, they get more hurt as the prices go even higher and higher on rising demand for the stock in the market.
If you have already shorted that stock, you might get a call from your broker to return that stock immediately. In such a case, you will have to immediately return the stock even if it doesn’t make any sense to you!As said before, companies, investors and many brokers hate short sellers. They think that short sellers had intentionally driven down the stock prices. So sometimes, they will spread rumors of good news to create a momentary short squeeze. Sometimes, a campaign will be started by the owners of a particular stock instructing their brokers not to loan out their stocks to short sellers.
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How to Easily Buy Stocks Online in 2010
Mar 7, 2010 Uncategorized
Right now in 2010, most people who open a stock account for the first time will do it online. This is a departure from how to open a stock account in years past where you had to physically go in to a broker’s office and sign up. When you were sitting in front of the broker, he would ask you all sorts of questions like what your investment goals were and what investing time horizon you had.
It was a bit of an ordeal to open an account and it probably kept some people from ever doing it because they didn’t want the hassle. Now though, with a few clicks of a button, you can open any account online and have money transferred into your account. Papers will be sent to your house to sign and anyone can do it easily. It makes one wonder whether it is almost too easy to open an account and allowing some people to get involved in stocks that really shouldn’t be.
Initially, learning to buy stocks can be intimidating, but it is quite simple after you know the basics. The terminology may scare a new investor, and if you do not understand it, you may not progress beyond the first step. But since opening an account and buying stocks online eliminates the need to work with a broker in person, you don’t have to be embarrassed by a lack of knowledge.
Online information will give you all the knowledge needed to begin investing. You can still go to a stockbroker and ask for further guidance if you desire to become more knowledgeable about trading and the market.
The ease of pushing a button to buy stocks online makes it almost seem like betting. The stock market is designed to be for serious investing in America’s future, but today buying stocks may feel more like gambling. The case could be made that online transactions have made stock trading too easy, and that day trading has damaged the lives of many people.
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Doji Candlestick Pattern-Something Unique And Highly Profitable!
Mar 7, 2010 Uncategorized
A Doji Candlestick Pattern is formed when the opening and the closing prices are the same. So, there is no stick on the candlestick. There are some variations but essentially a Doji is almost all wicks with no body. A Doji looks more like a cross rather than a candlestick pattern.
So for a Doji to be truly formed on a trading day, throughtout the trading day heavy buying or selling may take place but at the end of the day, the price should be where it had been at the start. In other words, the opening and the closing prices should be the same for a Doji to be formed.
When a Doji is formed with the opening and the closing prices equal, it is a signal that the battle between the bulls and the bears had been a draw during the trading day. Soon, either the bulls or the bears are going to previal. In other words, a trend reversal is about to take place.
A Dragonfly Doji pattern is unique in the sense that the opening, closing and the high prices are all the same or equal. A Dragonfly Doji is formed when the stocks opens, trades down during first part of the day. During some part of the day, the price starts to climb again and eventually closing on the high which is the same as the open.
In other words, the open, the close and the high for the day are the same for the Dragonfly Doji to form. So when a Dragonfly Doji Pattern is formed, the bears had been in control of the market at the start. But at some point in the trading day, the bulls become active and step in. Bulls start buying. This takes the prices up and at the end of the day, the security price ends up right where it had started.
The low of the Dragonfly Doji can be considered a near term support level because it is clear that the buyers stepped in at that level and turned the trend from down to up. Dragonfly Doji is a bullish candlestick pattern.
The second important variation to the Doji is the Bearish Gravestone Doji. This pattern is formed when the open and close of the day is equal to the low of the day. This is something opposite to the Dragonfly Doji where the open, the close and the high were equal. When a Bearish Gravestone Doji Pattern is formed, it is a signal that a prolonged downtrend is about to start in the market.
As said before, this pattern is rare but very easy to spot on the chart. When it does form, get ready for a trend change!
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Etf Trading Strategies: The Truth Behind Trading
Mar 5, 2010 Uncategorized
When you jump into the etf trading market its imperative that you have a set of etf trading strategies. This is imperative if you want to develop a good set of trading skills in the etf market. You can also purchase a book on etf trading strategies. There are so many things you can learn from reading what others have to say about trading and you can save a lot of time and money by learning from other people’s experience.
If you want to come up with a good solid and winning ETF trading strategies you need to first have a bit of experience in the ETF market. It will also do a great deal of good if you have some one or somebody who can teach you the about ETF trading strategies. The basis of a good ETF trading strategy is that it takes many things including good information into consideration.
Learning from other people’s experience is good because it will save you a lot of money, and time when it comes to developing a winning strategy. The best way to learn is from stories of other people’s success as well as their mistakes. Your job is to go and use what they tell you to develop your own unique trading style which can be adapted to the every changing etf trading market.
The market is constantly changing as each participant in the market changes their methods as well as their objectives drive the change in the market. There are times when the entire market may follow a trend and then there are times when trading against the trend will have its advantages. Sometimes trading with very strict set of profit targets will do the work for you.
Traders who have been trading for a while will begin to develop their own personal form and style of trading. This will largely be based on their experience as well as the markets they have chosen.
The ETF trading strategies you come up with needs to be designed in a way that makes it so flexible that you can would it to your taste and requirements. You also need to be able to accomplish this as soon as possible before the market takes another turn.
People who have traded and have made alto of money often fail later on because they were not able to keep up with the changing market. So you also need to find a way to compensate for that.
You need to develop a sense for the market and feel the change in the market. This is something you can learn but it take time. Effective etf trading strategies are flexible and suit your mindset and style.
Go to ETF trading and sign up for their free newsletter to receive the best ETF of the month or find more about their ETF trading system.
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Harami And The Harami Cross Candlestick Patterns Can Be Highly Profitable!
Feb 28, 2010 Stock Investment
There are simple as well as complex candlestick patterns. There are single stick, two stick as well as three stick candlestick patterns. Harami is a two stick candlestick pattern. Two stick patterns take two days to form on daily charts. A Harami is formed whent the first day candle is longer than the second day candle. Harami can be bullish as well as bearish!
A bullish Harami candlestick pattern is formed when the first day candle is bearish. Rather the first day is very bearish and occurs on a downtrend. But on the second day, the bulls come into action and try to move the prices higher. But bulls are not very successful. The second day close is still lower than the first day open and the first day’s high is never surpassed. However, the second day is a signal that the bulls have started to take the stand and stop the current downtrend.
The second day is still a down day that follows a bearish trend. On the second day, the open is higher than the close of the first day. The bulls ruled the second day as the close is higher than the open.
Bulls and bears are always fighting with each other for the control of the market. When a bullish Harami is formed what this means is that the bulls are still cautious about their success and fear that the bears might return to take the prices lower again. However, when this does not happen, it gives confidence to the bulls encouraging more buying in the market and the reversal of the trend.
Now, like most of the candlestick patterns, a Harami can fail. What this means is that you need to confirm it with the price action on the following day. Always place the stop loss first when you trade. When you spot a Harami, place the stop loss near the open of the second day.
Harami pattern has got few variations. On of them is the Bullish Harami Cross Pattern. Now,a Bullish Harami Cross is not formed very frequently. But when it does form, it means an sudden trend reversal. So you should act immediatetly when you spot it. The first day in case of a Bullish Harami Cross is a bearish candle. The signal day or the second day is a Bullish Doji with an open higher than the close of the first day and the close lower than the open of the first day.
The bearish Harami Pattern is the other way around. The first day candle is bullish but the second day candle is bearish with the open lower than the close of the first day and the close higher than the open of the first day. But this means is that bears have taken over the market and soon a new downtrend is going to develop.
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What Is Momentum Investing? How It Can Make You Rich?
Feb 28, 2010 Stock Investment
There is a difference between trading and investing. Trading is always short term while investing is long term. The time horizon in trading can be as short as a few minutes to a few days to a few weeks. Whereas in investing, the time horizon can be months to years. Many people day trade or swing trade stocks, currencies, futures, options, ETFs, commodities or other markets. In day trading, a trader opens a position and closes it in the same day making a quick profit. In swing trading, a trader tries to ride a trend in the market as long as it lasts. On the other hand, an investor is least pushed about the short term swings in the market. He or she has a long term time horizon like a few months to even a few years. This long time horizon matches their investment and financial goals!
Now a company’s stock may have a good long term prospects supported by strong fundamentals. But the stock may stay still for a long time before it catches the attention of the media and the investing public before it’s price get’s bid up. So an investor might have to wait for a long time before realizing a return on his or her investment. Many investors can learn a few tricks from day traders that can help them make a quick profit in a matter of days orn weeks instead of months or years.
Many investors when they fall in love with their investments on the long run forget this cardinal rule of trading that you have to cut your losses. Market least care who you are and how long you have been in it.There is a general problem with so many investors. They fall in love with their investment after doing so much research and committing so much time for the position to work. Now, day traders are always hit and run types. They have developed an innate sense of discipline among themselves that teaches them when to commit money to a trade and when to cut and run.
Now as a momentum investor, you need to look for securities that are going up in prices especially if accompanied by the underlying growth. What this means is that instead of buying low and selling high, what you will be doing is buying high and selling even higher.
When a security goes up in price with a strong demand underneath it, it said to have price momentum behind it! Now, as a long term investor, you should look for securities having momentum behind them just to avoid getting stuck with securities for months before they start moving. It pays to be patient. But it works even better when the money that you invested works for you while you wait.
Now, when the price of a stock or security increases because of strong demand, it is said to have momentum behind it. When, there is momentum behind a security, it means that it’s price will continue to icnrease as long as it has got momentum. This way by investing in stocks having momentum behind them, you avoid the risk of getting stuck in stocks that might not move for months and months.
Now, when doing momentum investing, you need to also do some fundamental research behind the company. As most of the momentum investing done during the dot com bubble was on hearsay without being supported by any strong fundamentals! However, if too many investors start practicing momentum investing, it sometimes leads to bubbles like the tech bubble that happened at the end of 1990s.
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Tags: Bonds, credit, currency trading, day trading, etfs, forex, futures, home business, money, Mutual Funds, options, real estate, retirement, Stock Investment, Stock Market, stocks, trading, wealth building
Back Testing Your Trading System-Know These Shocking Limitations
Feb 27, 2010 Stock Investment
Your trading system needs thorough testing before you decide to trade live with it. A trading system might comprise of a set of indicators. You need to know how well your trading system and its set of indicators work in a particular market.
For this you can do back testing. Back testing is a method that uses historical data to test how well your indicators work in a particular market. You can use back testing software that enables you to look at the past market data and test how well the indicators and your trading system have worked in the past market.
Backtesting results are no guarantee that the trading system will perform well under live market conditions. Things that worked in the past might not work now. Similarly something that didn’t work in the past, may work now! You never know!There are many problems with historical data. There is no slippage in backtesting. Slippage is one of the most important problem that a trader faces while trading live. The other problem that the backtest ignores is the widening of spreads under volatile market conditions.
So when you look at back testing results, you should look at them with scepticism. But it doesn’t mean that backtesting is entirely useless! What we can say is that no two trades are exactly alike.
Back testing can give you a feel how a particular market behaves under certain conditions. Back testing can also spot you certain general characteristics of the market like the seasonal trends and market tendencies.
For example, some markets especially the commodities market is highly seasonal and cyclical in nature. We can take the example of agricultural commodities like wheat, grains,corn, cotton, coffee and stuff like that. In case of the stock market, there is much talk of the January Effect. Well, it is there no doubt about it. Some years, it is highly pronounced and others it is not that pronounced. Similarly stock prices tend to rise at the end of each month and the first few days of the new months. The reason for this is that many institutional investors tend to put the new funds to work at the end of the month and the beginning of the new month! Now in other markets, you might not find any seasonal trends. For example, there is very little seasonality in curreny market or the bond market.
Back testing can also help you establish the amount of time a particular market tends to run in a certain direction. For example, in case of US Dollar Index, its trend lines tend to last for months to years.
But to tell you the truth, backtesting can only give you a rough guess about the performance of the trading system under live trading conditions. There is no substitute for live trading results!
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Finding The Safest Investments For Your Money In 2010
Feb 26, 2010 Stock Investment
Individuals are on the lookout for investments that offer the highest interest, at a time when the health of the economy is very weak, and the news from the stock market is not much better. People are feeling nervous about the trends of financial investments, and they are having trouble finding secure places for their money. If asked, most individuals will tell you that they would choose a safe investment over one offering a higher interest rate. So, if you find yourself in this position, what other alternatives are available besides an interest checking or savings account?
Today’s most secure investment is likely an FDIC insured bank CD, which is guaranteed, in actuality, by the United States government. The FDIC failing to insure your CD would only happen in the event of a complete U.S. government collapse, which means that it is highly unlikely that your money is in any jeopardy. It is too bad, though, that certificates of deposit are currently at an all time low rate of 1% currently.
But, surprisingly, you do not always get the best interest rate by choosing a CD with the longest term. You may notice that a bank’s rate for a 15-year or 30-year CD is actually lower than the rate for shorter term investments. And special promotions may get you the best rate for a shorter term CD.
Low rates tend to hurt people who rely on interest income for living expenses, etc., such as retired people and senior citizens, the most. Although it may be a good idea for young people to buy stocks and other investments that carry some risk but have a greater return rate that is not the case for older people. Young people have a longer time to invest and can endure some fluctuations in the market, but older people need their money readily available.
Other safe options are to buy Treasury bills or just keep cash. T-bills are paying even less than CD’s though, and you are almost loaning your money to the U.S. government for free. You might decide to not invest it in anything and just keep cash but then inflation is going to eat away the value of your money. It is a difficult time for everyone right now with this horrible economy and dire financial situation.
Are you trying to find information about CDs vs Treasury notes? If you are you might take a look at Best CD Interest where you will find more information.
Tags: banking, Banks, cd, certificate of deposit, Interest Rates, retirement, saving, Seniors, Stock Investment, Stock Market, stocks, Wall Street
Important Concepts Of Initial Public Offering / IPO Investing Strategies
Feb 25, 2010 Stock Investment
Are you searching for the most profitable avenues of investment that are available to you today? Are you wondering which stocks hold the most promise? Are you also hoping to avoid facing any issues due to overpriced stocks? If you are searching for the perfect type of stock to invest into, you should certainly seek out initial public offering / IPO opportunities.
When you invest into IPO stocks, you are obtaining a very unique opportunity to invest into a company before the rest of the market has been given a chance to invest themselves. By investing into a stock early, you can be sure that you will be able to get into the stock for the best price overall. You can also be sure that you are teaming up with a company the moment before it is about to see some fairly substantial recognition within the marketplace.
There are a few factors you may want to consider before you purchase an IPO stock though. You should certainly consider the quality of the business you are looking at, the financials of the company, as well as the amount of promise the company holds for the future, if you want to be certain the investment will actually increase in value over time.
When you are just getting started in IPO investing, you should remember that this can be one of the most difficult kinds of shares to assess. When a stock has just come to the market, it can be practically impossible to gauge how much demand and interest the company will generate in the open marketplace. It can also be difficult to ascertain whether or not the value will even be maintained at its current value.
For this reason, when you are investing into stocks of this nature, you should certainly make sure you do quite a bit of research to make sure you know everything there is to know about the company you are purchasing.
When you are investing into IPO stocks, you should remember that the primary reason why most companies are listed as an IPO on the open market is for capital raising. When a company is placed on the open market, they are in a very good position to create a large amount of capital for their business ventures. There really isn’t any other method available in the marketplace that is more lucrative than selling shares to the public. When a company sells shares to the public, they can generate millions of dollars for their business activities.
Even though the fact that the company is making plans for expansion, you should still keep in mind that these stocks are not guaranteed to rise over time. You should remember that there is simply a plan in place for the company to increase the value of its operation over time through many channels of business activity, no guarantees that it will increase in value as a result.
If you want to estimate how profitable the initial public offering / IPO will be for the company, you should certainly make sure you understand where the extra capital will be going from the IPO offering. If you find that the capital will be going into store expansions and other production expanding areas of the business like this, you can take that into account and weigh it into your decision on whether or not you should purchase the stock being listed on the market.
There are many things to consider on how to IPO properly and legally. For more information about the IPO process, be sure to consult with the professionals.
Tags: Capitalization, Initial Public Offering, Investing, Ipo, Stock Investment, Stock Market, stocks